Updates on progress on my novels and publishing time-table and maybe other random comments.
Hopefully my last update since Australia is doing really well and provided the politicians and we (the public) do not ‘drop the ball’ we are on the way out. The new case numbers are now becoming ‘noisy’ (which accounts for the large changes in infection rate) and can mostly be tracked to known causes. In… Read more
An update using essentially the same daily model as before. I have included the Australian data (pink triangles). To reiterate, I adjust my Social Distancing Factor to match the Australian data, and extrapolate from the last data point. The bad news. I now determine the base rate as ~6, highly infectious. The good news. If… Read more
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